Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/1954
Título: Monthly forecasts of the average wind speed in Portugal
Autor: Rio, João
Simões, T.
Estanqueiro, Ana
Palavras-chave: Wind speed
Monthly forecast
Vento--Velocidade
Energia eólica
Data: 2006
Citação: Rio, João; Simões, Teresa; Estanqueiro, Ana. Monthly forecasts of the average wind speed in Portugal. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference 2006, Athens, Greece, 27 February-2 March, 2006, 6 p.
Resumo: Forecasts of the monthly anomaly of the average wind speed can provide useful information for energy management and production. Unlike methods which use state-of-the art highly complex dynamic or statistic models, this study presents a methodology based on analogues. This simple method identifies similar weather patterns using past observations to produce a forecast and relies on the fact that the atmosphere has a limited number of preferred weather patterns. The forecast is provided as the most likely category and its skill is assessed against persistence. Results are shown only in an area limited to Portugal and the nearby Atlantic ocean.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/1954
Aparece nas colecções:EOL - Comunicações em actas de encontros científicos internacionais

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