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  • Man0EUvRE: Energy System Modelling for Transition to a net-Zero 2050 for EU via REPowerEU: Deliverable 3.1 Executive Summaries of Case Studies
    Publication . Esmaeili Aliabadi, Danial; Mantilla, Carlos; Lechón, Yolanda; Haaskjold, Kristina; Arvesen, Anders; Baldauf, Thomas; Eschmann, Jonas; Kochems, Johannes; Gutjahr, Sandra Franziska; Kirkil, Gokhan; Kaltsas, Ilias; Kannavou, Maria; Charousset-Brignol, Sandrine; Couto, António; Estanqueiro, Ana; Barani, Mostafa; Löffler, Konstantin; Nienhaus, Kristina; Belsnes, Michael Martin; Mathisen, Siri
    ABSTRACT: This document is related to Deliverable 3.1 of the Man0EUvRE project, in which we report modelling activities of nine case studies from various countries. Each case study addresses a question from a regional perspective while considering the general assumptions of the consortium through established scenarios. We follow a consistent reporting format across all case studies, allowing readers who are interested in a specific region or question to skip other cases without losing essential context. Based on our preliminary findings, European energy systems across the case studies collectively show that Europe can become both self-reliant and an exporter of low-carbon energy carriers if policies and investments unlock regional strengths and the right flexibility instruments are put in place. Southern states with abundant solar energy (e.g., Portugal, Spain, Greece, Turkey) can scale renewables and electrolysis. Scandinavia’s hydropower offers system-scale flexibility that stabilises high variable renewable energy (VRE) penetration, and cross-model comparisons demonstrate that combining broad, cross-sectoral modelling with detailed power-system studies reveals complementary roles for exports, seasonal storage and short-term balancing. Studies of Germany and Hungary underline the critical role of dispatchable, negative-emission options—such as bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)—to avoid reliance on fossil backstops, while agent-based macroeconomic results show that changing global energy factor prices will reshape (not necessarily hollow out) industrial activity.
    2025-11Relatório técnico Acesso aberto Ver mais