Browsing by Author "Sousa, Vivian"
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- Strategic Bidding to Increase the Market Value of Variable Renewable Generators in Electricity MarketsPublication . Sousa, Vivian; Algarvio, HugoABSTRACT: The 2050 global ambition for a carbon-neutral society is increasing the penetration of the most competitive variable renewable technologies, onshore wind and solar PV. These technologies are known for their near-zero marginal costs but highly variable time-dependent generation. Power systems with major penetrations of variable generation need high balancing flexibility to guarantee their stability by maintaining the equilibrium between demand and supply. Electricity markets were designed for dispatchable technologies. Support schemes are used to incentivize and de-risk the investment in variable renewables, since actual market designs are riskier for their active participation. This study presents three strategic bidding strategies for the active participation of variable renewables in electricity markets based on probabilistic quantile-based forecasts. This case study examines the levels of active market participation for a wind power producer (WPP) in the Iberian electricity market and the Portuguese balancing markets, where WPPs are financially responsible for imbalances and operate without support schemes in the first and second stages of the Iberian market designs. Results from this study indicate that the WPP has the potential to increase its market value between 36% and 155% if participating in the tertiary and secondary balancing markets completely adapted to its design, respectively. However, considering the use of strategic bidding in actual market designs, by participating in the secondary reserve, the WPP can increase its market value by 10% and 45% when compared with perfect foresight and operational cases, respectively.
- Strategic Bidding to Increase the Market Value of Variable Renewable Generators in New Electricity Market DesignsPublication . Algarvio, Hugo; Sousa, VivianABSTRACT: Electricity markets with a high share of variable renewable energy require significant balancing reserves to ensure stability by preserving the balance of supply and demand. However, they were originally conceived for dispatchable technologies, which operate with predictable and controllable generation. As a result, adapting market mechanisms to accommodate the characteristics of variable renewables is essential for enhancing grid reliability and efficiency. This work studies the strategic behavior of a wind power producer (WPP) in the Iberian electricity market (MIBEL) and the Portuguese balancing markets (BMs), where wind farms are economically responsible for deviations and do not have support schemes. In addition to exploring current market dynamics, the study proposes new market designs for the balancing markets, with separate procurement of upward and downward secondary balancing capacity, aligning with European Electricity Regulation guidelines. The difference between market designs considers that the wind farm can hourly bid in both (New 1) or only one (New 2) balancing direction. The study considers seven strategies (S1-S7) for the participation of a wind farm in the past (S1), actual (S2 and S3), New 1 (S4) and New 2 (S5-S7) market designs. The results demonstrate that new market designs can increase the wind market value by 2% compared to the optimal scenario and by 31% compared to the operational scenario. Among the tested approaches, New 2 delivers the best operational and economic outcomes. In S7, the wind farm achieves the lowest imbalance and curtailment while maintaining the same remuneration of S4. Additionally, the difference between the optimal and operational remuneration of the WPP under the New 2 design is only 22%, indicating that this design enables the WPP to achieve remuneration levels close to the optimal case.
- Strategies to Incentivize the Participation of Variable Renewable Energy Generators in Balancing MarketsPublication . Algarvio, Hugo; Sousa, VivianABSTRACT: Balancing markets (BMs) play a crucial role in ensuring the real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply. The current requirements for participation in BMs often overlook the characteristics and capabilities of variable renewables, limiting their effective integration. The increasing penetration of variable renewables necessitates adjustments in the design of BMs to support the transition toward carbon-neutral power systems. This study examines the levels of active market participation for a wind power producer (WPP) in the Iberian Electricity Market and the Portuguese BMs. In addition to exploring current market dynamics, the study tests one methodology proposed by the Danish Transmission System Operator to support the participation of variable renewables in BMs, the P90, and two new methods based on the full cost balancing concept. These methodologies incentivize WPPs to minimize imbalances by allowing market participation only if imbalances remain within a 10% deadband of annual hours (P90), hourly offers (D90), or both (DP90). The results indicate that participating in the secondary capacity market, particularly for downward capacity, is the most profitable strategy. This participation enhances the value of wind power by over 42%. However, in most methodologies, the WPP failed to deliver nearly 100% of its allocated capacity approximately 1% of the time. In contrast, the D90 approach limited the maximum deviation to 10%, demonstrating the highest reliability among the evaluated methods.