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Impact of weather regimes on the wind power ramp forecast in Portugal

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dc.contributor.authorCouto, António
dc.contributor.authorCosta, Paula Silva
dc.contributor.authorRodrigues, L.
dc.contributor.authorLopes, Vitor V.
dc.contributor.authorEstanqueiro, Ana
dc.date.accessioned2015-03-25T12:33:05Z
dc.date.available2015-03-25T12:33:05Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.description.abstractShort-term forecasting and diagnostic tools for severe changes of wind power production (power ramps) may provide reliable information for a secure power system operation at a small cost. Understanding the underlying role of the synoptic weather regimes (WRs) in triggering the wind power ramp events can be an added value to improve and complement the current forecast techniques. This work identifies and classifies the WRs over mainland Portugal associated with the occurrence of severe wind power ramps. The most representative WRs are identified on compressed surface level atmospheric data using principal component analysis by applying K-means clustering. The results show a strong association between some synoptic circulation patterns and step variations of the wind power production indicating the possibility to identify certain WRs that are prone to trigger severe wind power ramps, thus opening the possibility for future development of diagnostic warning systems for system operators’ use.por
dc.identifier.citationCouto, A.; Costa, P.; Rodrigues, L.; Lopes, Vitor V.; Estanqueiro, A. - Impact of weather regimes on the wind power ramp forecast in Portugal. In: IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy, 2014, Vol. PP, nº 99, p. 1-9por
dc.identifier.issn1949-3029
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/2673
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.publisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers - IEEEpor
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TSTE.2014.2334062 por
dc.subjectWind powerpor
dc.subjectLarge-scale integrationpor
dc.subjectMeteorologypor
dc.subjectPattern recognitionpor
dc.subjectPower generationpor
dc.titleImpact of weather regimes on the wind power ramp forecast in Portugalpor
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage9por
oaire.citation.startPage1por
oaire.citation.titleIEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energypor
oaire.citation.volumePPpor
person.familyNameCouto
person.familyNameEstanqueiro
person.givenNameAntónio
person.givenNameAna
person.identifier.ciencia-id2619-80A1-A8AC
person.identifier.ciencia-id7F11-A24D-EE81
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7368-8817
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0476-2526
person.identifier.ridJ-9752-2012
person.identifier.scopus-author-id19336967700
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typearticlepor
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationa0c5b011-98c5-49d3-9ac6-ddfb6027f500
relation.isAuthorOfPublication20aa31b3-fa3c-42b7-82a4-e6b91c017f9c
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery20aa31b3-fa3c-42b7-82a4-e6b91c017f9c

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