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Foresighting Scenarios for Green Hydrogen in Portugal: Systematization of Potential Futures and Identification of Bottlenecks and Constraints

datacite.subject.fosEngenharia e Tecnologia::Engenharia do Ambiente
datacite.subject.fosEngenharia e Tecnologia::Outras Engenharias e Tecnologias
datacite.subject.sdg07:Energias Renováveis e Acessíveis
datacite.subject.sdg12:Produção e Consumo Sustentáveis
datacite.subject.sdg13:Ação Climática
dc.contributor.authorVieira, Mário
dc.contributor.authorAlves, Marco
dc.contributor.authorSimoes, Sofia
dc.contributor.authorQuental, Lídia
dc.contributor.authorCatarino, Justina
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro Pinto, Paulo Jorge
dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Paula
dc.contributor.authorSimões, Teresa
dc.date.accessioned2025-11-05T11:41:59Z
dc.date.available2025-11-05T11:41:59Z
dc.date.issued2025-11
dc.description.abstractABSTRACT: The use of green hydrogen has emerged as a promising avenue for facilitating the decarbonization of society. In this study, the potential futures of green hydrogen in Portugal, a key player in Europe's energy transition, are explored. Utilizing General Morphological Analysis combined with advanced clustering, the various political, social, and technological elements are analyzed to create a multifaceted view of the sector's future. This results in seven distinct scenario clusters, each offering unique insights into the challenges and opportunities for green hydrogen. The scenarios span a range of outcomes, from rapid growth fueled by strong policy support and technological advancements to more measured development due to economic or infrastructural hurdles. This study intends to provide stakeholders a deep understanding of the factors influencing green hydrogen's role in Portugal's push towards a sustainable energy landscape by 2030. These results provide a basis for the development of new projects and research directions, providing them with the necessary knowledge to make informed decisions. Moreover, this study will contribute to decision support by facilitating actions aimed at fostering the appropriate development of green hydrogen.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipThe present research has been partially funded by Missão Interface-Centros de Tecnologia e Inovação (CTI)-Investimento RE‐C05‐i02- N.° 03/C05‐i02/2022, under the Portuguese PRR, RE‐C05‐i02—N.°03/C05‐i02/2022.
dc.identifier.citationVieira, M., Alves, M., Simoes, S. G., Quental, L., Catarino, J., Pinto, P., Oliveira, P. & Simões, T. (2025). Foresighting scenarios for green hydrogen in Portugal: systematization of potential futures and identification of bottlenecks and constraints. In: Futures & Foresight Science, 2025, vol. 7(3). https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.70022
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/ffo2.70022
dc.identifier.issn2573-5152
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/6125
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherJohn Wiley & Sons Ltd.
dc.relationMissão Interface
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ffo2.70022
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectGreen hydrogen
dc.subjectSustainable energy
dc.subjectClustering
dc.subjectForesight
dc.subjectMorphological analysis
dc.titleForesighting Scenarios for Green Hydrogen in Portugal: Systematization of Potential Futures and Identification of Bottlenecks and Constraintseng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue3
oaire.citation.titleFutures & Foresight Science
oaire.citation.volume7
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
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person.givenNamePaulo Jorge
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