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How much extreme weather events have affected European power generation in the past three decades?

2023-09Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorBrás, Teresa
dc.contributor.authorSimoes, Sofia
dc.contributor.authorAmorim, Filipa
dc.contributor.authorFortes, Patricia
dc.date.accessioned2023-10-06T15:51:07Z
dc.date.available2023-10-06T15:51:07Z
dc.date.issued2023-09
dc.description.abstractABSTRACT: Extreme weather events (EWE) can affect energy supply, particularly when energy systems are significantly reliant on renewable energy sources, highly vulnerable to climate and weather conditions. We combine observational energy data from EUROSTAT with records of EWE, between 1990 and 2019, to evaluate European power plants capacity factors (CF) responses to those events. Using a statistical compositing analysis, we show that years with floods and storms increased annual European hydropower CF by 7 and 5.8%, respectively, compared to non-EWE years, while CF of fossil power plants decreased (-2.8%). Similar behaviours are found for Central and Mediterranean countries. From 1993 to 2004 to 2005-2016 European hydropower tripled during floods and quintupled during storms suggesting that the events are becoming more severe or there is more efficient water use. On the contrary, from 1993 to 2016, in every year with droughts/heatwaves the European hydropower decreased (-6.5%), with a subsequent increase of fossil CF (2.3%). Such behaviour is also observed across Central and Eastern Europe. Cold waves negatively affected solar photovoltaic output at the European level and Central Europe (-5%). Vulnerability of wind power plants to floods is increasing: from 1993 to 2004 to 2005-2016 there is 3-fold decrease in the European wind CF; from one flood year to the following, wind CF decreases in Central (- 1.9%yr- 1) and Eastern Europe (- 3.7%yr- 1). During droughts/heatwaves, wind CF increases in Central Europe (2%yr- 1), but decreases in Mediterranean (- 3%yr- 1). Shifting to renewable energy sources is key to decarbonization. It's crucial understanding the historical impacts of EWE in the power system towards its resilience and stability.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationBrás, Teresa A... et.al - How much extreme weather events have affected European power generation in the past three decades?. In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2023, vol. 183, aticle nº 113494pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.rser.2023.113494pt_PT
dc.identifier.eissn1879-0690
dc.identifier.issn1364-0321
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/4161
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationCenter for Environmental and Sustainability Research
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2023.113494pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectExtreme weather eventspt_PT
dc.subjectClimate changept_PT
dc.subjectRenewable energiespt_PT
dc.subjectEuropept_PT
dc.titleHow much extreme weather events have affected European power generation in the past three decades?pt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleCenter for Environmental and Sustainability Research
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F04085%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.titleRenewable and Sustainable Energy Reviewspt_PT
oaire.citation.volume183pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNameSimoes
person.familyNameda Costa Redondo Cancela de Amorim
person.familyNameFortes
person.givenNameSofia
person.givenNameAna Filipa
person.givenNamePatricia
person.identifier.ciencia-idB013-F0D5-FF8E
person.identifier.ciencia-id7E18-9DB1-CFE4
person.identifier.ciencia-idF41C-16EA-85CC
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4304-1411
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9815-8647
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4743-1874
person.identifier.ridI-3367-2015
person.identifier.scopus-author-id24472270000
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication43ef3f09-e0cc-43b3-bf0c-9bd2ba76d7d2
relation.isAuthorOfPublication4a7014bd-a767-4b69-bd26-b6ae787c561e
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery4a7014bd-a767-4b69-bd26-b6ae787c561e
relation.isProjectOfPublication24ce2cf2-60e9-40e1-97eb-861f4a13de4b
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery24ce2cf2-60e9-40e1-97eb-861f4a13de4b

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