Seasonal Forecast Climate Data and Hydropower Production in the Douro Basin, in Portugal

Diogo, Paulo; Beça, Pedro; Simoes, Sofia; Amorim, Filipa; Mujtaba, Babar

http://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/3758

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Abstract(s)

ABSTRACT: The project CLIM2POWER aims at developing a climate service including state-of-the art seasonal climate forecasts in the planning of the operation of the power systems. This work presents part of the project, addressing the forecasting of the hydropower generation in a case study area, the Portuguese part of the transboundary Douro River basin. Rainfall-runoff modelling was performed on a daily scale using three ensemble members of seasonal climate data (six months) for Portuguese territory crossed with three daily inflow scenarios from Spanish territory defined according to historical observed data. The obtained results reflect the fact that seasonal climate forecast present a wide variation of scenarios and also the fact that hydropower production in Portuguese territory is highly dependent on transboundary inflows. On the other hand, the implemented approach successfully produced consistent runoff and hydropower production results although improvements on the identification of the most probable scenarios are yet required.

Description

This article belongs to the Proceedings of the 4th EWaS: International Conference: Valuing the Water, Carbon, Ecological Footprints of Human Activities

Keywords

Climate forecasts Hydrological modelling Hydropower production Portugal

URI

http://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/3758

Citation

Diogo, Paulo... [et.al.] - Seasonal Forecast Climate Data and Hydropower Production in the Douro Basin, in Portugal. In: Environmental Sciences Proceedings, 2020, Vol. 2(1), article nº 71