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Circular economy modelling for climate change mitigation: A review of empirical evidence and modelling approaches

datacite.subject.fosEngenharia e Tecnologia::Engenharia do Ambiente
datacite.subject.sdg11:Cidades e Comunidades Sustentáveis
datacite.subject.sdg13:Ação Climática
dc.contributor.authorZanon Zotin, Marianne
dc.contributor.authorFortes, Patricia
dc.contributor.authorCorbier, Darius
dc.contributor.authorDeetman, Sebastiaan
dc.contributor.authorEdelenbosch, Oreane
dc.contributor.authorvan Engelenburg, Martijn
dc.contributor.authorHauenstein, Christian
dc.contributor.authorHertwich, Edgar
dc.contributor.authorJiang, Meng
dc.contributor.authorvon Köckritz, Luja
dc.contributor.authorMagalar, Leticia
dc.contributor.authorPauliuk, Stefan
dc.contributor.authorStraub, Lucas
dc.contributor.authorVélez-Henao, Johan
dc.contributor.authorvan Vuuren, Detlef
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-01T10:55:22Z
dc.date.available2026-07-01T10:55:22Z
dc.date.issued2026-06
dc.description.abstractABSTRACT: Circular economy (CE) measures can play a role in reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially in material- and energy-intensive sectors. Yet, their representation in GHG mitigation pathways is still not well captured in climate change mitigation models. To support modelling efforts towards better CE representation, two reviews were conducted: (1) the empirical evidence on the GHG mitigation potential of CE strategies across material supply and demand sectors and R-strategies, and (2) the current modelling approaches used to assess these strategies. Findings show that, while most studies focus on recycling, increasing attention is given to upstream strategies such as material substitution, design for reuse, and service-based business models. Important gaps remain, particularly around Refuse, Rethink, behavioural factors, rebound effects, as well as synergies and trade-offs with climate policy. Industrial ecology methods provide a detailed material flows representation but lack feedback mechanisms and economic dynamics. In contrast, GHG mitigation models offer broader system coverage but often simplify materials and CE dynamics. Better alignment between methods is needed, including shared definitions, improved data, and more collaboration across modelling communities. Strengthening the modelling of CE strategies can support policy-relevant assessments of CE’s contribution to achieving global climate goals.eng
dc.identifier.citationZanon-Zotin, M., Fortes, P., Corbier, D., Deetman, S., Edelenbosch, O., van Engelenburg, M., Hauenstein, C., Hertwich, E., Jiang, M., von Köckritz, L., Magalar, L., Pauliuk, S., Straub, L., Vélez-Henao, J., & van Vuuren, D. (2026). Circular economy modelling for climate change mitigation: A review of empirical evidence and modelling approaches. In: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2026, vol. 234, article 109053. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2026.109053
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.resconrec.2026.109053
dc.identifier.issn0921-3449
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/6376
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relationCircular Economy Modelling for Climate Change Mitigation
dc.relationCenter for Environmental and Sustainability Research
dc.relationCHANGE - Global Change and Sustainability Institute
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2026.109053
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectCircular economy
dc.subjectClimate change mitigation
dc.subjectIndustrial ecology
dc.subjectIntegrated assessment modelling
dc.subjectMaterial flow analysis
dc.titleCircular economy modelling for climate change mitigation: A review of empirical evidence and modelling approacheseng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumber101056868
oaire.awardNumberUID/AMB/04085/2019
oaire.awardNumberLA/P/0121/2020
oaire.awardTitleCircular Economy Modelling for Climate Change Mitigation
oaire.awardTitleCenter for Environmental and Sustainability Research
oaire.awardTitleCHANGE - Global Change and Sustainability Institute
oaire.awardURIhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/6375
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UID%2FAMB%2F04085%2F2019/PT
oaire.awardURIhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/5646
oaire.citation.titleResources, Conservation and Recycling
oaire.citation.volume234
oaire.fundingStreamHORIZON Research and Innovation Actions
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameZanon Zotin
person.familyNameFortes
person.familyNameCorbier
person.familyNameDeetman
person.familyNameEdelenbosch
person.familyNamevan Engelenburg
person.familyNameHauenstein
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person.familyNamevon Köckritz
person.familyNamePauliuk
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person.givenNameMarianne
person.givenNamePatricia
person.givenNameDarius
person.givenNameSebastiaan
person.givenNameOreane
person.givenNameMartijn
person.givenNameChristian
person.givenNameEdgar
person.givenNameLuja
person.givenNameStefan
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person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6588-5255
person.identifier.orcid0009-0005-9775-0653
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9077-2220
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person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-0398-2831
person.identifier.ridA-4764-2009
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6701785583
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7003501910
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
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