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- Man0EUvRE: Energy System Modelling for Transition to a net-Zero 2050 for EU via REPowerEU: Deliverable 3.1 Executive Summaries of Case StudiesPublication . Esmaeili Aliabadi, Danial; Mantilla, Carlos; Lechón, Yolanda; Haaskjold, Kristina; Arvesen, Anders; Baldauf, Thomas; Eschmann, Jonas; Kochems, Johannes; Gutjahr, Sandra Franziska; Kirkil, Gokhan; Kaltsas, Ilias; Kannavou, Maria; Charousset-Brignol, Sandrine; Couto, António; Estanqueiro, Ana; Barani, Mostafa; Löffler, Konstantin; Nienhaus, Kristina; Belsnes, Michael Martin; Mathisen, SiriABSTRACT: This document is related to Deliverable 3.1 of the Man0EUvRE project, in which we report modelling activities of nine case studies from various countries. Each case study addresses a question from a regional perspective while considering the general assumptions of the consortium through established scenarios. We follow a consistent reporting format across all case studies, allowing readers who are interested in a specific region or question to skip other cases without losing essential context. Based on our preliminary findings, European energy systems across the case studies collectively show that Europe can become both self-reliant and an exporter of low-carbon energy carriers if policies and investments unlock regional strengths and the right flexibility instruments are put in place. Southern states with abundant solar energy (e.g., Portugal, Spain, Greece, Turkey) can scale renewables and electrolysis. Scandinavia’s hydropower offers system-scale flexibility that stabilises high variable renewable energy (VRE) penetration, and cross-model comparisons demonstrate that combining broad, cross-sectoral modelling with detailed power-system studies reveals complementary roles for exports, seasonal storage and short-term balancing. Studies of Germany and Hungary underline the critical role of dispatchable, negative-emission options—such as bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)—to avoid reliance on fossil backstops, while agent-based macroeconomic results show that changing global energy factor prices will reshape (not necessarily hollow out) industrial activity.
- Man0EUvRE: Deliverable 3.1: Executive Summaries of Case StudiesPublication . Esmaeili Aliabadi, Danial; Mantilla, Carlos; Lechón, Yolanda; Haaskjold, Kristina; Sazon, Thor Alexis; Seljom, Pernille; Forsberg, Jonas; Krook Riekkola, Anna; Arvesen, Anders; Mathisen, Siri; Belsnes, Michael Martin; Nienhaus, Kristina; Baldauf, Thomas; Eschmann, Jonas; Kochems, Johannes; Gutjahr, Sandra Franziska; Kirkil, Gokhan; Kaltsas, Ilias; Kannavou, Maria; Charousset-Brignol, Sandrine; Couto, António; Estanqueiro, Ana; Sousa, Viviane; Graça, Pedro; Barani, Mostafa; Löffler, KonstantinABSTRACT: European energy systems across the case studies collectively show that Europe can become both self-reliant and an exporter of low-carbon energy carriers if policies and investments unlock regional strengths and the right flexibility instruments are put in place. Southern states with abundant solar energy (e.g. Portugal, Spain, Greece, Turkey) can scale renewables and electrolysis. Scandinavia’s hydropower offers system-scale flexibility that stabilises high variable renewable energy (VRE) penetration, and cross-model comparisons demonstrate that combining broad, cross-sectoral modelling with detailed power-system studies reveals complementary roles for exports, seasonal storage and short-term balancing. Studies of Germany and Hungary underline the critical role of dispatchable, negative-emission options—such as bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)—to avoid reliance on fossil backstops, while agent-based macroeconomic results show that changing global energy factor prices will reshape (not necessarily hollow out) industrial activity.
- D4.1: NECP Man0EUvRE vision: Analyses of the NECPs of the considered countriesPublication . Charousset-Brignol, Sandrine; Calmels, Marie-Ann Evans; Arvesen, Anders; Kaltsas, Ilias; Kirkil, Gokhan; Gutjahr, Sandra Franziska; T.Szabó, Ágnes Csilla; Kochems, Johannes; Nienhaus, Kristina; Eschmann, Jonas; Baldauf, Thomas; Moskalenko, Nikita; Mantilla, Carlos; Lechón, Yolanda; Couto, António; Sousa, Viviane; Graça, Pedro; Mathisen, Siri; Estanqueiro, AnaABSTRACT: The development of the energy system at both national and European levels requires effective coordination between national and European energy transition plans, to ensure consistency. The overall aim of this project is to improve and coordinate energy system modelling across Europe and provide open scientific evidence and research-based results that facilitate ambitious emissions reductions for a clean energy transition (CET), while incorporating the measures suggested in REPowerEU and recent policy suggestions of the Fit for 55 package and the Net Zero Industrial act. The objectives of Man0EUvRE are: 1. To develop robust pathways for the European energy system that meet climate targets towards net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and consider current policies like the REPowerEU plan. 2. To provide feedback and advice to the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) of the individual EU countries. 3. To improve a set of models for conducting energy transition studies at both European and national level, which can support NECP generation, evaluation and future updates. 4. To publish consistent energy system modelling datasets and scenario projections at both European and national level. 5. To strengthen the coordination between national energy plans and EU-wide transition goals. As part of the Clean Energy for all Europeans package, the EU member states have submitted national energy and climate plans (NECP) covering the period 2021-2030 and addressing how the country will work towards the binding targets common for the EU. NECPs are conducted in each member state individually, each one having its own representation of European strategies and pathways. One objective of Man0EuvRE was then to evaluate the current available NECPs or equivalent for countries included in Man0EuvRE, to develop a methodology for how Man0EUvRE models can be used in NECP analyses and how national results could be replicated to other countries, to communicate with stakeholders and to develop advice and recommendations to the NECP responsible in each country.