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Wind power plants hybridised with solar power: A generation forecast perspective

dc.contributor.authorCouto, António
dc.contributor.authorEstanqueiro, Ana
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-24T12:20:39Z
dc.date.available2024-01-24T12:20:39Z
dc.date.issued2023-09
dc.description.abstractABSTRACT: aggregation for the operation of power systems is an area of recent research. Accurate forecasts are crucial for extracting those benefits and promote an optimal integration of such plants into power systems and electricity markets. This study focuses on the hybridisation of existing wind power plants with different shares of solar photovoltaic capacity and investigates how these power plants can reduce their combined forecast errors and thus, increasing profitability in electricity markets. The work uses a forecast methodology based on a sequential forward feature selection algorithm which employs two different objective functions and an artificial neural network approach previously presented but, in this case, it is applied to the specific case of hybrid power plants. The methodology uses as input data from a numerical weather prediction model and iteratively selects meteorological features to achieve the different objective functions implemented, namely i) minimisation of the root mean square error; or ii) maximisation of the market remuneration. The methodology developed was applied to three case studies in Portugal with different levels of wind and solar generation complementarity. The results show that the hybrid power plants can increase market value by up to 5% and total remuneration can increase by up to 30% when compared with the existing wind power plant, while it is possible to reduce the forecast errors by nearly 4%. The obtained results highlight the need to select the most relevant meteorological features to maximise the accuracy of the power forecast and the renewable power producers revenues in a market environment.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationCouto, António... et.al - Wind power plants hybridised with solar power: A generation forecast perspective. In: Journal of Cleaner Production, 2023, vol. 423, article nº 138793pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.138793pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn0959-6526
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.9/4225
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationTools for the Design and modelling of new markets and negotiation mechanisms for a ~100% Renewable European Power Systems
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.138793pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectPower forecastpt_PT
dc.subjectHybrid renewable power plantspt_PT
dc.subjectWind power plantspt_PT
dc.subjectSolar energypt_PT
dc.titleWind power plants hybridised with solar power: A generation forecast perspectivept_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleTools for the Design and modelling of new markets and negotiation mechanisms for a ~100% Renewable European Power Systems
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/864276/EU
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Cleaner Productionpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume423pt_PT
oaire.fundingStreamH2020
person.familyNameCouto
person.familyNameEstanqueiro
person.givenNameAntónio
person.givenNameAna
person.identifier.ciencia-id2619-80A1-A8AC
person.identifier.ciencia-id7F11-A24D-EE81
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7368-8817
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0476-2526
person.identifier.ridJ-9752-2012
person.identifier.scopus-author-id19336967700
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100008530
project.funder.nameEuropean Commission
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationa0c5b011-98c5-49d3-9ac6-ddfb6027f500
relation.isAuthorOfPublication20aa31b3-fa3c-42b7-82a4-e6b91c017f9c
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverya0c5b011-98c5-49d3-9ac6-ddfb6027f500
relation.isProjectOfPublication7d7e6f9b-bf23-4adc-8f93-2061ef327e26
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery7d7e6f9b-bf23-4adc-8f93-2061ef327e26

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