ER - Comunicações em actas de encontros científicos internacionais
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Browsing ER - Comunicações em actas de encontros científicos internacionais by Subject "Climate change"
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- Competing water uses between agriculture and energy: Quantifying the future impacts of climate change for the Portuguese power sectorPublication . Fortes, Patricia; Simoes, Sofia; Brás, Teresa; Amorim, FilipaABSTRACT: This paper analyses to which extent the competition for water resources between water demand for agriculture and hydropower may affect the future Portuguese carbon-neutral power sector under RCP8.5 climate scenario. Climate change effects on the availability of wind, solar PV and electricity demand are also modelled by the energy system eTIMES_PT model. Results show that, by 2050, Portuguese irrigation water demand is projected to increase between 3.5%-9.7% and 19% in Douro watershed, responsible for more than 50% of the national hydropower production. Consequently, annual average hydropower capacity factor reduces around 9-10%. Comparing with historical average hydrological years, climate change can lead to a reduction of hydropower production between -9% to -30%, which may be aggravated to -21% to -39%, with water competition. This reduction is compensated with a rise of Offshore Wind less affected by climate change.
- How the quality of urban adaptation plans in Europe has evolved over time: indication of progress? Judgement by way of an assessment frameworkPublication . Reckien, Diana; Buzási, Attila; Olazabal, Marta; Spyridaki, Niki-Artemis; Eckersley, Peter; Simoes, Sofia; Salvia, Monica; Pietrapertosa, Filomena; Fokaides, ParisABSTRACT: Since the Paris Agreement, there has been an increasing focus on assessing the progress of climate change adaptation across multiple sectors and regions (Lesnikowski et al., 2017; Tompkins et al., 2018; Berrang-Ford et al., 2019). An important question is what ‘progress’ means and how it could be assessed, at the international, national, and local levels. Hitherto, there is a wealth of information on climate responses at sub-national levels (Hale et al., 2021). Cities and urban areas are increasingly recognized as important actors in climate response (Sanchez Rodriguez et al., 2018). In urban adaptation studies, most assessments focus on tracking and analysing policy outputs, such as approved adaptation plans (Castan Broto et al., 2020; Dodman et al., 2022). Analysing plans cannot tell the whole story in terms of actual progress in the collective reduction (or redistribution) of climate risks. However, it can provide information about the quality and relevance of adaptation processes and actions, and help to assess the likelihood that cities’ advance adaptation goals by reducing risks and increasing resilience equitably (Olazabal et al., 2019; Woodruff & Stults, 2016). Scholars have argued that ‘the best method to ensuring robust adaptation is to ensure rigorous adaptation planning processes’ (Preston et al., 2011).